World geopolitical situation. How the world sees the war in Ukraine


The global geopolitical situation has undergone rapid evolution over the past few months . It has assumed, beyond what we are told by mainstream information, a sharp acceleration towards the scenario of a world war with dynamics that are still not perfectly definable. And with no less uncertain outcomes. What transpires from the Ukrainian theater of war is that the battle is becoming fiercer than ever. The resistance of the Kiev army is surprising and, despite unimaginable human and material losses, continues to maintain the bulk of its positions in the eastern part of the country. This is partly due to Moscow’s war strategy which is in no hurry to launch the decisive attack and aims to wear down what remains of the Ukrainian armies in the field as much as possible. And partly to the immense contribution of human and material resources that the West is pouring into the theater of war. On the other hand, at the last Davos summit the Western elites were very clear. They approved the supply of everything the Kiev army needed to defeat the Russian army on the field as quickly as possible. We’ll see if that happens. For now the only certain thing is that the conflict is becoming increasingly ferocious and bloody.


Contrary to what the mainstream media tells us, not the whole world has taken the side of the West in the current Ukrainian war. Many countries maintained a neutral position and therefore neither condemned nor supported the Russian special operation against Kiev. Other countries even supported it. Among these, obviously, the many satellites of Moscow and Beijing. Damascus, Tehran, Pyongyang, Havana, Caracas strongly supported Russia in its invasion. If we sum up we discover that half the world is not on the side of the West in this battle. And this is what is truly surprising. If we make an exception for the satellites of Washington and affiliates, we cannot find any real condemnations for Putin’s move who, on the contrary, in many cases is seen as the one who is “breaking” the new world order that the Anglo-Saxon empire has created. tried to establish in the world after the collapse of the USSR. Surprising, in this regard, are the moves that Argentina is making in this sense. The South American country, heavily indebted to the international monetary fund, maintained a pro-Russian position even after February 24, 2022 (Russian invasion of Ukraine). Argentine President Alberto Fernandez defined Putin as an important ally to free his country from the yoke of the IMF and presented a formal request for Argentina’s entry into the BRICS club with the aim of bringing the South American country to total emancipation from the West. Brazil’s position is not very different, despite having condemned Moscow’s invasion in principle, it has in fact opposed the West’s requests to limit the import of Russian (and Belarusian) products, given that Brasilia imports 30% of fertilizers used in Brazilian agricultural production by Russia and Belarus) and to sever economic relations with Moscow. Recently the German president Olaf Scholz, visiting the South American country, tried to put pressure on the newly elected president Lula to send Brazilian war material to the Ukrainian army but was told, sharply, that “Brazil is fighting hunger in the world and not Russia in Ukraine”, Words which represented a real setback for the German Prime Minister who noted the impossibility of involving Brasilia in the ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe. And if the attitude of the largest Latin American countries stunned the Western establishment, I was no less impressed by that of India. As we know, India is a historic ally of Moscow from both an economic and military point of view. Two thirds of New Delhi’s army equipment is “made in Russia” and the two countries have developed a solid partnership in cutting-edge military projects (such as that of the SU-57 fifth generation fighter) which have made the two even more interdependent countries. Precisely for this reason, India did not accept the United States’ invitation not to buy Russian hydrocarbons (after the sanctions imposed by the West) and to sever its commercial relations with Moscow. Which caused quite a bit of irritation in Washington and London. New Delhi’s position is also important given that India’s role is fundamental in the future of the world economy. In fact, it is in this part of the world that the economy has the highest growth rate. In the Indian region (including, in addition to India, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Burma) what will be the largest market in the world is taking shape. With a population of almost two billion people, this macroregion is preparing to become fundamental in the global geoeconomy. A strategic alliance between Moscow and New Delhi is not in the interests of the West. But this seems to be the direction events have taken. India is set to become, together with China, Moscow’s largest commercial partner as well as a privileged outlet market for the export of its enormous agricultural and mineral resources. For these reasons, the Indian establishment also completely ignored Washington’s pressure to impose sanctions on Russia. In Asia, Indonesia’s position also appears to be relevant as it declared itself neutral at the outbreak of hostilities (and therefore,de facto , refused to condemn Russia) than the warring parties. Moscow has enjoyed excellent diplomatic and commercial relations with Jakarta for years and is actively positioning itself in what is and will be, with its 260,000,000 inhabitants, one of the most promising markets globally. And even in this case the pressure put forward by the British and US governments on the Indonesian political leadership to sever their economic relations with Moscow did not produce concrete results. But it is perhaps in Africa where the “slap” to the West appears more humiliating than elsewhere. French President Emmanuel Macron, noting the results of the vote to condemn Russian aggression against Ukraine at the United Nations General Assembly which met on March 2 last year, declared: “I have seen too much hypocrisy, especially on the African continent.” He had just learned that of the 35 countries that had abstained from voting to condemn, 17 were African (Eritrea had even voted against). It probably wasn’t exactly hypocrisy but something deeper and more rooted in the minds of Africans. It’s called anti-colonial hatred. A bit like the same feeling that the Ukrainians, perhaps not wrongly, have against the Russians who have historically always subjugated them. The sentiment, in the wake of Sino-Russian expansionism in the black continent, is overflowing throughout Africa. As demonstrated by the countless spontaneous demonstrations across the continent in favor of Russia. And as also demonstrated by the joint naval exercises between Russia, China and South Africa in the Indian Ocean. After all, how can we blame these populations from whom Westerners have practically taken everything away in two hundred years of colonial and neocolonial occupation? The fact is that even on the black continent, support for the Ukrainian government, with the exception of former French colonial Africa still heavily dependent on Paris and Brussels, has been very poor. Which should give the Western political leadership serious thought.


From what is written above it is clear that it is not possible to say that the Russian military intervention in Ukraine has isolated Moscow from the rest of the world. Rather, it appears to have decisively severed Russia’s economic and commercial ties with the West. Which, by now, no longer seem to have convergent (but only divergent) interests on all important issues on the international geopolitical stage. However, it seems clear that much of the world, despite strong pressure from Washington and London in this sense, has no intention of condemning the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Many countries even supported Moscow or justified its geopolitical and geostrategic motivations related to the military operation against Kiev. Which demonstrates how the global geopolitical dynamic is in turmoil. And how profound are the changes taking place in the world’s balance of power.

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