THE CHALLENGE TO THE WEST IN THE RED SEA: THE THREAT TO WESTERN TRADE
The war and commercial situation that is developing in the Red Sea represents a serious threat to the well-being and development of the entire West. It is therefore capable of having very serious repercussions on the well-being of the populations of Western countries since it is capable of increasing the current dramatic inflationary dynamic (consequent both to the war events that took place after 24 February 2022 and to the continuous printing of money by Western central banks). And it is also really very important because it represents a fundamental piece in the economic and military confrontation that pits the Anglo-Saxon-led West against the Sino-Russian bloc. In fact, it would be completely misleading to analyze the crisis and the war in the Red Sea as a geopolitical development separated from the context of the ongoing world war as it developed after February 24, 2022 (the day the Russian military operations began on Ukrainian territory). And it would also be wrong to believe that such developments threaten world trade as a whole because they essentially threaten only Western trade. The hostile actions of the Yemeni rebels are directed specifically against Western merchant ships (and against naval vessels deployed by the US and its European allies) and not against the merchant fleets of other nations. Which already suggests the nature of the conflict taking place in this specific geopolitical scene and who is behind the moves of the Yemeni rebel forces. But let’s try to understand what we mean by these statements.
THE CHALLENGE TO THE WEST IN THE RED SEA: WHO IS BEHIND THE YEMENITE REBELS
The crisis in the Red Sea is an asymmetric response to the economic war that the West has launched against Russia from a geopolitical and geoeconomic perspective, aimed at the collapse of Moscow’s economy and war capabilities. This geopolitical and geostrategic vision has dominated the actions of the Anglo-Saxon establishment for about fifteen years (since the first collapse in the price of oil in 2015 which repeated the same script of the 1980s when the USA orchestrated the increase in output to defund Russian finances and drive the USSR into bankruptcy) and was reinvigorated after Moscow’s Russian invasion of Ukraine. Which now responds with an asymmetric war with potentially devastating consequences for the economy, well-being and dominance of the Western seas. The consequences of the Houthi incursions against Western ships concern in fact not only the growth of inflation in Western countries (as a consequence of the higher transport costs of arriving goods due to the modification of the trade route and the higher insurance costs of shipping) but also a challenge to the naval power of the West. Who must now demonstrate that he knows how to tame enemy forces by force. This could, however, be very difficult if the Russians and Chinese (as they seem to have done based on what we learn from informal sources) had equipped the Yemeni rebels with high-tech military tools capable of destroying or damaging the military fleet of Western countries . We are referring in particular to the latest generation Russian anti-ship missiles and underwater drones (like those that are threatening the Russian fleet in the Black Sea). Which would pose a nightmare scenario for the entire West and which would represent an existential challenge for the Anglo-Saxon thalassocracy.
THE CHALLENGE TO THE WEST IN THE RED SEA: THE ACTIONS OF THE HOUTIS AND THE DEADLY THREAT TO THE WESTERN CENTRAL BANKS
The economic consequences of the Houthi challenge in the Red Sea are not only limited to the increase in consumer prices but also to the action of Western central banks which would be unable or limited in making the cost of money less exorbitant (lowering the cost of the same and therefore interest rates on loans and mortgages). This would pose problems for the Western economy since this situation would limit economic activity within the US and EU economies. In truth, the problem of inflation has its main cause in the actions of central banks themselves. And in the uncontrolled printing of money they have produced over the last twenty years. The global geopolitical context is only worsening a dramatic economic situation in the West which is now totally dependent on the monetary drug produced by the FED and the ECB. All this makes us understand how the economic and geopolitical challenge of Moscow and Beijing in the Red Sea, implemented at the hands of the Yemeni rebels, transcends the geographical borders of the Middle East and is aimed directly against the economic and geopolitical interests of the West. And how it is a response to Washington and London’s desire to destroy Moscow economically and geopolitically. This is also due to the costs of the naval mission undertaken by the Western fleets off the Yemeni coast. And we don’t dare think what could happen if the Houthis were able to sink European or US military ships.
THE CHALLENGE TO THE WEST IN THE RED SEA: CONCLUSIONS
The war scenarios that are maturing in the Red Sea warn us that the conflict between West and East is progressively degenerating into a total war with no holds barred (which does not surprise us at all given the stakes). The attack on Western trade in the Red Sea, along the world’s most important trade route, should be seen as an asymmetric response to the increasingly exceptional and pressing economic sanctions against Russia. It is the response of Moscow and Beijing to the attempt to annihilate Putin’s great rebellion against the Western world order that took shape with the Russian invasion of Ukraine. She probably won’t be the only one. And not even the last one given the moonlights that are maturing on the global geopolitical scenario. We will see how all this will impact the stability of the various internal fronts of Western countries. Since those who will pay the consequences of the war circumstances that are taking shape will be the poor citizens and certainly not the members of the establishment.